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<![CDATA[Bidenomics]]>

Paul Krugman Blames 'Media Failing' for Americans Believing Biden's Economy Is a Dumpster Fire

August 2, 2022 by Mike Miller Leave a Comment

Add “noted” economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman to the list of left-wingers desperately trying to convince tens of millions of hardworking everyday Americans that the economy isn’t as bad as they know it is and that they aren’t suffering nearly as much as they know they are. 

As frustrating as life in Biden’s America™ has become for some, and devastating for others, it’s still humorous at times, watching Joe and Democrats — always aided by their useful idiots in the liberal lapdog media — blame everyone and everything else for crises they alone have foisted on the American people.

Their desperate attempt to change the long-accepted definition of “recession” is one such example.

The standard definition of recession for decades has been “a period of temporary economic decline during which trade and industrial activity are reduced, generally identified by a fall in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) in two successive quarters.” Per that accepted definition, the U.S. officially entered a recession on August 1. Or did it? Not so fast, say Biden and Democrats, backed by their know-nothing sock puppets in the media and various left-wing economists. (Think: “Paul Krugman” — but we’ll get to him in a minute.)

As reported by The Hill on Saturday, under what amounted to a Biden-supporting headline — Is there a recession? Only the National Bureau of Economic Research gets to decide — only the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee is “in charge” of making an official call on whether the country is in a recession.

Why so? It gets worse:

Commerce Department data this week found the U.S. economy shrank for a second quarter in a row, sparking a new debate about whether the nation is in a recession. Negative growth in two consecutive quarters fulfills a common definition for a recession — and it’s the official way of making such a call in some countries. But it’s not in the U.S., where a relatively under-the-radar group — the National Bureau of Economic Research’s (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee — is in charge of making an official call on whether the country is in a recession.

So what is this group, and how does it make its proclamations?

My exact question. And, “some countries”? Those “some countries” included the U.S. for years — until the frantic efforts to declare the Biden Recession™ a “non-recession” began. Check it out:

The group within the NBER that actually makes the call on the recession is the Business Cycle Dating Committee. It has eight members, who are among the foremost economists in the nation, [all of whom] work at top academic institutions across the country.

The NBER’s formal definition of a recession is broad. According to its frequently asked questions page, the NBER’s traditional definition is “a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months.

The only thing “broad” in that definition over the decades-long standard definition is the shell-game switch from “two consecutive quarters” to “more than a few months.”

How convenient for Joe Biden and his recession, huh? Anyway, now let’s go to Paul Krugman — along with an extra bonus, CNN’s Mr. Potato Head Brian Stelter, who was also all over it, gleefully getting himself more and more worked up the longer Krugman sang the song the pretend-journalist wanted to hear.

As we continue, keep in mind the mindnumbing fact that Krugman is a Nobel Laureate. Wait. Now that I think about it, that might have a “tiny bit” to do with the unabashed hypocrisy and complete lack of professional integrity this Mr. Know-it-All has demonstrated over the years.

As reported by CNN Business on Sunday, Krugman not only declared that the U.S. economy is not in a recession; he said the distinction doesn’t even matter. See what I mean? Here’s more:

Jobs are abundant, although maybe the job market is weakening. Inflation is high, though maybe inflation is coming down. What does it matter whether you use the R-word or not?

Great question, Mr. Krugman. How ’bout you ask Biden and the Democrats, and get back to us?

The “noted” economist continued, observing that in today’s “divisive environment,” the debate over whether or not to use the word recession by some members of the media has become “especially vitriolic.” (In case you missed it, there was the set-up: It’s the media’s fault, America.)

I’ve never seen anything as bad as the determination of a lot of people to say it’s a recession. It’s above and beyond anything I’ve ever seen. Negative news stories often get the most attention, but when it comes to the economy, a plurality of voters appear to not be aware of its underlying strength.

I think that what’s happening now is that there’s been a kind of a negativity bias in coverage.

And there you have it, folks: a left-wing economist blaming the left-wing-dominated news media for convincing a strong majority of rational Americans that Biden’s disastrous policies have led to economic cutbacks and hardships for tens of millions of hardworking families. The problem for Krugman and Democrats? That is exactly what happened; Biden’s disastrous policies are to blame.

Yet Krugman insists on blaming a “media failing” when in reality a majority of the media — finally — are accurately covering the realities of what most Americans are experiencing in Biden’s America. That said, Krugman began to sound even more foolish:

If you ask people how’s your financial situation, it’s pretty favorable. You ask them how’s the economy, they say, ‘Oh, it’s terrible.’

Does anyone have the world’s tiniest violin I can borrow for a minute?

“If you ask people ‘How is your financial situation?’ it’s pretty favorable,” @paulkrugman says. “If you ask them ‘How is the economy?’ they say ‘Oh, it’s terrible.’ That’s a media failing.” https://t.co/gwA6vs31PM

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) August 1, 2022

Finally, Krugman got to the real issue at hand — by inadvertently playing his hand.

They want their Biden recession. They’re going to have it, nevermind [sic] the fact that … there’s not a recession in any technical sense.

Translation: “The Republicans want to hang the traditional definition of recession around Biden’s neck and I’ll be damned if I’m going to give it to them, so there.”

“We’re recovering from a pandemic,” Krugman said. “You’d expect a lot of things to look kind of weird right now.” The only thing that looks weird right now, as we close, is Paul Krugman.

Filed Under: <![CDATA[Biden Economy]]>, <![CDATA[Bidenflation]]>, <![CDATA[Bidenomics]]>, <![CDATA[Conservatism]]>, <![CDATA[Democrats]]>, <![CDATA[Economist Paul Krugman]]>, <![CDATA[Economy]]>, <![CDATA[GDP]]>, <![CDATA[inflation]]>, <![CDATA[Joe Biden]]>, <![CDATA[media bias]]>, <![CDATA[National Bureau Of Economic Research]]>, <![CDATA[NBER]]>, <![CDATA[Politics]]>, <![CDATA[recession]]>, <![CDATA[US economy]]>, News, Red State

Next up in Biden's America: There's Going to Be a Halloween Candy Shortage, Kids

July 31, 2022 by Mike Miller Leave a Comment

We’ve reached the point in Biden’s America, almost 19 months into the most disastrous presidency in U.S. history, where a majority of Americans blame virtually everything bad that happens in the country or in their personal lives on— you guessed it — Joseph Robinette Biden Jr., the “star” of the horror show.

Now, it appears we’ll see a shortage of Halloween candy this year.

As reported by Reuters, the Hersey Company — the 5th largest candy company in the world — on Thursday announced it will not be able to meet demand for the all-important “trick or treat” season this year, and will likely fall short during the Christmas season, as well. The company cited scarcity of raw ingredients and difficulties in securing suppliers.

Executive Officer Michele Buck summed it up: “We will not be able to fully meet consumer demand due to capacity constraints.”

The 128-year-old company, a cornerstone of America’s candy history, produces some of the most beloved Halloween candy out there, including Hershey’s Chocolate Bars, Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups, Kit Kats, Mounds, Good & Plenty, Bubble Yum, Twizzlers, Jolly Ranchers, Whatchamacallits, Milk Duds, 5th Avenue, and Hershey’s Kisses.

So, what’s a popular confectionery manufacturer to do when faced with capacity constraints, yet still concerned with its shareholders and bottom line? What every other company in Biden’s America is being forced to do: raise prices. While Hershey expects more consumer pushback over higher prices in the second half of the year, the company is relying on price increases to boost growth.

CFRA Research analyst Arun Sundaram said Hershey is well positioned to ride out supply chain issues.

Historically, Hershey’s sales growth has been driven by higher prices and not necessarily volume […] The company is entering this period from a position of strength with that expertise.

The company’s numbers speak for themselves, per Reuters:

Shares of the Reese’s Peanut Butter Cup maker rose 2.5% in morning trading after the company lifted its profit and sales forecasts, benefiting from price hikes amid resilient demand for its chocolates and candies.

Hershey’s net sales rose over 19% to $2.37 billion in the quarter ended July 3, beating analysts’ estimates of $2.22 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Hershey saw its net sales rise more than 19% in the second quarter – raking in $2.37 billion compared to estimates of $2.22 billion.

[The company] raised its 2022 adjusted profit per share growth forecast to 12% to 14%, from 10% to 12%. Hershey also said it now expects net sales to grow between 12% and 14%, compared with [the]10% to 12% estimated earlier.

Incidentally, the Hershey Company isn’t the only major confectionery manufacturer to be faced with Bidenomics and Bidenflation.

As reported by CNN Business, Nestlé — the world’s largest food company — said it raised prices by 6.5 percent in the first half of 2022 because of an “unprecedented” rise in costs. The company raised its prices the most in North America — a 9.8 percent increase — followed by Latin America at 9.4 percent, Nestlé said in a statement Thursday. Rising costs for commodities, packaging, freight, and energy weighed on the company’s operating profit margin, Nestlé (NSRGF) said. Joe Biden was unavailable for comment.

Nestlė CEO Mark Schneider echoed CFRA’s analysis of Hersey’s positioning:

We limited the impact of unprecedented inflationary pressures and supply chain constraints on our margin development through disciplined cost control and operational efficiencies.

Are you smarter than a clueless president?

The bottom line:

Again, can the challenges facing major corporations be laid solely at the feet of the most inept president in the history of America? Given that the operative word here is solely, the answer is no.

Here’s a better question: Have the policies of the Biden White House from day one helped the American economy, including Hershey and Nestlė, or have they continually exacerbated at every step of the way the monumental issues facing both producers and consumers?

The question is rhetorical; the answer is “B.”

Filed Under: <![CDATA[Biden's America]]>, <![CDATA[Bidenflation]]>, <![CDATA[Bidenomics]]>, <![CDATA[Conservatism]]>, <![CDATA[Democrats]]>, <![CDATA[Economy]]>, <![CDATA[Halloween candy]]>, <![CDATA[Hershey company]]>, <![CDATA[inflation]]>, <![CDATA[Joe Biden]]>, <![CDATA[Nestlé]]>, <![CDATA[Politics]]>, <![CDATA[supply chain crisis]]>, <![CDATA[U.S. Economy]]>, News, Red State

Study: Democrats' Laughably-Named 'Inflation Reduction Act' Will Reduce Inflation by ZERO Percent

July 30, 2022 by Mike Miller Leave a Comment

Among the plethora of dishonest tricks in the Democrat Party’s big fat bag of lies and other disreputable fraudulent activities is purposely misnaming a piece of legislation–a federal program and anything else they find necessary, solely for the purpose of exploiting and pandering to low-information voters.

Our story begins with West Virginia Democrat Senator Joe Manchin and ends with Manchin — except for a Penn Wharton Budget Model that just poured water all over the Democrat-claimed disinflationary effects of a compromise agreement between Manchin and New York Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer on a critical reconciliation bill — two weeks after Manchin abruptly pulled the plug on similar talks with Chucky.

Schumer and Manchin this week unveiled the $675 billion Inflation Reduction Act, which they claim would combat climate change, extend enhanced Obamacare subsidies, and reduce the budget deficit by roughly $300 billion. If you know anything about projected government spending in the Democrats’ Planet Looney Tunes Green New Deal, the federal budget deficit, inflation, and the economy as a whole, you also know there’s no way in hell the laughably-named Inflation Reduction Act can do everything Schumer and Manchin claimed it would — and reduce inflation at the same time.

Simplified translation: Not going to happen.

So how bad ,is it? Breitbart Economics and Finance Editor John Carney called it a “brazen lie.”

“Actually, it’s likely to increase inflation a bit in the near term,” he predicted.

The supposedly game-changing legislative breakthrough that brought together Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) after months of negotiations over Build Back Better failed is cynically branded as a measure to counter the budget deficit. This makes sense in a crass political way because inflation is the number issue facing American families and is plunging the economy into a stagflationary recession.

The first hint that this is not going to be an inflation-reducing piece of legislation is that the bill includes a massive expansion of government spending. There is roughly $385 billion in spending on energy and climate change, according to the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Budget. There is $100 billion of new spending for health care in the form of expanded Obamacare subsidies and expanded prescription drug and vaccine coverage.

Carney summarized the Democrat sham with an abbreviated version of Inflation 101: more government spending on top of an already out-of-control federal budget will increase demand for goods and services in the economy, but will not increase overall supply — particularly in the near term.

These new spending measures, which come on top of the already bloated government budget, will operate to increase aggregate demand in the economy. They may increase the supply of some goods and services but will not likely increase aggregate supply. Rather, the subsidies for green energy and clean manufacturing tax credits will shift supply sources without leading to a net increase.

The bill purports to reduce the budget deficit by increasing taxes and controlling some drug costs. The Committee for a Responsible Budget estimates these will produce cost savings and revenue of $470 billion. Unfortunately, none of that is likely to reduce inflation.

“In short, it is not enough to reduce the budget deficit if you want to reduce inflation,” Carney observed. “You have to reduce the right kind of spending or raise taxes in ways that reduce the private sector’s spending. This bill does nothing even close to either.”

Amen. Lest you skeptically wonder if I agree with Carney and he agrees with me, solely because we’re conservatives, fear not: The Penn Wharton Budget Model, a nonpartisan public policy initiative, is in agreement, as well.

The UPenn Wharton budget model estimates the so-called “Inflation Reduction Act” would NOT reduce inflation.

In fact, Senator Manchin’s favorite economists estimate it would actually increase inflation through 2023.

Um, Joe? What — Schumer got your tongue?

#NEW: The UPenn @Wharton budget model estimates the so-called “Inflation Reduction Act” would NOT reduce inflation.

In fact, Senator Manchin’s favorite economists estimate it would actually increase inflation through 2023.https://t.co/yqW8nrDFg3

— Financial Services GOP (@FinancialCmte) July 29, 2022

Shocked? Please.

The Penn Wharton Budget Model estimates that the Inflation Reduction Act would reduce non-interest cumulative deficits by $248 billion over the budget window with no impact on GDP in 2031.

The impact on inflation is statistically indistinguishable from zero. An illustrative scenario is also presented where Affordable Care Act subsidies are made permanent. Under this illustrative alternative, the 10-year deficit reduction estimate falls to $89 billion.

Key Points, per Penn Wharton:

  • PWBM estimates that the Inflation Reduction Act, as written, would reduce cumulative deficits by $248 billion over the budget window.
  • The Act would very slightly increase inflation until 2024 and decrease inflation thereafter. These point estimates are statistically indistinguishable from zero, thereby indicating low confidence that the legislation will have any impact on inflation.
  • *We project no impact on GDP by 2031 and an increase in GDP of 0.2 percent by 2050. These estimates include the impact of debt and carbon reduction as well as capital and labor supply distortions from rising tax rates.
  • As written, the Inflation Reduction Act contains a sunset for the Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies provision at the end of 2025. Under an illustrative scenario where that provision was extended indefinitely, the 10-year deficit reduction estimate falls to $89 billion. The impact on GDP remains zero through 2040.

The bottom line:

If visions of Barack “If You Like Your Plan, You  Keep Your Plan” Obama are dancing around in your head, right now, you’re not alone. Not only did that quote garner a few “Lie of the Year” awards for Chicago Jesus Obama; he also lied his ass off about “keeping” your doctor and hospital, while also boasting (lying) that the average family’s “Affordable” Care Act premium would decrease by $2,500 in the first year; premiums instead increased by roughly $3,000 in the plan’s second year.

The dishonestly-named Inflation Reduction Act is more of the same. The question is, why do so many people continue to buy Democrat crock of crap after Democrat crock of crap?

Because, as is the case on both sides of the aisle, for those who believe, no proof is necessary. For those who don’t believe, no proof is possible.

You know, that P.T. Barnum thing.

Filed Under: <![CDATA[Bidenflation]]>, <![CDATA[Bidenomics]]>, <![CDATA[Conservatism]]>, <![CDATA[Democrats]]>, <![CDATA[Economy]]>, <![CDATA[Inflation Reduction Act]]>, <![CDATA[inflation]]>, <![CDATA[Joe Biden]]>, <![CDATA[Obama]]>, <![CDATA[Penn-Wharton Budget Model]]>, <![CDATA[Politics]]>, <![CDATA[Republicans]]>, News, Red State

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