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Wagner Chief Warns of Second Russian Revolution over Ukraine War Failures

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Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin has warned of the potential of another Russian revolution akin to that of 1917 unless the strategy of the war in Ukraine is drastically altered.

Russia’s top mercenary leader said in a post on Telegram that the number of casualties suffered by common people in the war in Ukraine while elites in Moscow “shook their arses” could lead to widespread unrest and that the imposition of martial law could be required to prevent a full-blown revolution.

“We are in such a condition that we could fucking lose Russia – that is the main problem… We need to impose martial law,” Prigozhin said according to a translation by the Reuters news agency.

“First the soldiers will stand up, and after that – their loved ones will rise up,” he continued. “There are already tens of thousands of them – relatives of those killed. And there will probably be hundreds of thousands – we cannot avoid that.”

“This divide can end as in 1917 with a revolution,” the Wagner boss warned, referencing the communist overthrow of the Romanov royal family by the communist uprising led by Vladimir Lenin a century ago.

He claimed that his mercenary group had recruited some 50,000 convicted prisoners so far in the war, 20 per cent of whom have died, while 10,000 of his guns for hire had also died in the fighting. Prigozhin then claimed some 50,000 Ukrainians were killed in the long-lasting battle of Bakhmut, which Wagner claimed victory over last week.

Although exact numbers are difficult to quantify, the White House claimed earlier this month that Russia had suffered 100,000 deaths in Bakmut and other areas of Ukraine over the previous five months, alone, with 20,000 being Wagner soldiers.

Prigozhin, who has long been rumoured as a potential challenger to replace Vladimir Putin, went on to take aim at the purpose of the war as a whole, specifically the stated aim of the conflict, to “demilitarise” Ukraine.

Speaking with pro-Kremlin war blogger Konstantin Dolgov, he said: “So if they had at the start of it 500 tanks – now they have 5,000. If there were 20,000 men who were able to fight – now there are 400,000. So how exactly did we demilitarise it? Quite the opposite! We militarised it up to the brim.

“I think Ukrainians today are one of the world’s strongest armies. They have high levels of organisation, training, military intelligence.”

The mercenary leader went on to criticise the military leadership in Moscow, first calling them out for failing to send their own sons to die in the war, and for having “fucked up” strategically.

Prigozhin singled out Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov for having failed in the war effort, not least of which, in his perspective, failing to supply his mercenaries with proper levels of ammunition. He also pointed to the recent apparent counter-invasion of the Russian region of Belgorod as a failure of military leadership.

“Without a doubt, the death penalty will be brought back because we are in a state of war… and the guilty people will receive their punishment – as a minimum, they’ll be hanged on the Red Square,” the Wagner chief said in a veiled reference to the two military leaders.

According to Prigozhin, the only way to turn around the war would be to completely transform Russia into a war economy, saying that the entire nation should be tasked with the production of weapons.

“Stop building skyscrapers, new roads, new infrastructure – and work only for the war. We must live like in North Korea for several years, and shut the borders,” he said.

Follow Kurt Zindulka on Twitter here @KurtZindulka

Russia’s Wagner Chief Claims Victory in Bakhmut, Yet Ukraine Denies Defeat

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Russia’s mercenary Wagner chief claimed on Saturday that his forces had fully captured the key Donbas city of Bakhmut, however, Ukrainian defence officials have refused to concede defeat and said that fighting continues.

While Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is on the other side of the world attempting to sure up Western support for his war effort at the G7 meeting in Hiroshima, Japan, a key Ukrainian holdout may be falling.

According to the bellicose boss of Russia’s private army Wagner group, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the city of Bakmut fell to his forces on Saturday after one of the longest and bloodiest battles of the war in Ukraine, with fighting in the area starting over 200 days ago.

“Today at noon, Bakhmut was fully captured,” Prigozhin said in a video published on his Telegram channel, as translated by Russian state-media RT.

“We’ve taken the whole city – every building – so that nobody could say that we didn’t capture some small part of it,” he declared.

Prigozhin said that his group of Wagner mercenary fighters would remain in the city until Thursday before handing over control of Bakhmut to the Russian Ministry of Defence. He added that his soldiers would then take a period of rest and recuperation after months of heavy fighting in what he dubbed the “Bakhmut meat-grinder”.

The Wagner boss went on to personally address Ukrainian President Zelensky, saying “without sarcasm” that the Ukrainian soldiers had “fought bravely, fought well” to defend the city.

“Today, when you see Biden, kiss him on the top of his head and tell him that I said ‘hi,’” he Prigozhin joked in reference to the G7 meeting in Japan that Zelensky is currently attending alongside U.S. President Joe Biden.

However, despite the definitive claims of victory from the Wagner boss, Ukrainian officials have so far denied that their forces were fully defeated in Bakhmut.

“Heavy battles are ongoing in Bakhmut. The situation is critical. At the same time, our troops hold the defense in the Litak district,” Ukraine’s Deputy Minister of Defence Hanna Maliar said according to state media Ukrinform.

Speaking to the Associated Press, Serhiy Cherevatyi, a spokesman for Ukraine’s eastern command, also denied Prigozhin’s claims, saying that it “is not true. Our units are fighting in Bakhmut.”

Ahead of the declaration from the Wagner chief, there were indications from British intelligence that Russia was planning on doubling down on its push to capture the city, after reportedly being forced into an embarrassing retreat earlier this month during which Prigozhin had complained of lack of ammunition and even suggested abandoning the battle.

According to the UK’s Ministry of Defence (MoD), it is believed that over the past four days Russia redeployed several betalians to reinforce their efforts in Bakhmut.

“With Russia likely maintaining relatively few uncommitted combat units in Ukraine, the redeployment represents a notable commitment by the Russian command. Russia’s leadership likely continue to see capturing Bakhmut as the key immediate war aim which would allow them to claim some degree of success in the conflict,” the MoD said.

Follow Kurt Zindulka on Twitter here @KurtZindulka