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New Hampshire Poll Shows Some Troubling News for DeSantis Campaign

September 21, 2023 by Jeff Charles Leave a Comment

A new CNN primary poll has revealed some interesting changes in the Republican political landscape. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who many have viewed as the most pressing threat to former President Donald Trump’s chances of securing the GOP nomination, has tumbled to fifth place among likely Republican voters in New Hampshire, a key state for the primaries.

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These numbers might come as a surprise, given DeSantis’ popularity in the conservative movement. If accurate, these results could portend some troubling times ahead for the governor’s campaign.

The survey, consisting of 2,107 respondents and completed between September 14 and September 18, revealed that Trump continues to maintain a healthy lead over his competition, with 39 percent of likely primary voters backing him. No surprise there. But DeSantis is significantly trailing the former president with only 10 percent support, which is a 13 percent drop since July. In fact, his numbers have plummeted to fifth place behind entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, and even former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.

These new numbers could reflect a broader shift among members of the Republican base. DeSantis enjoyed widespread popularity among conservatives over his positions on COVID-19 and his reputation as an anti-woke crusader against progressivism. However, it appears Republican voters are more willing to consider alternatives as the race continues.

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However, all is not lost for DeSantis. The primary is still almost four months away, and the poll does offer a glimmer of hope for the governor, who is widely favored as voters’ second pick. This suggests that a substantial chunk of the Republican voting base could swing his way if other candidates drop out of the race.

Moreover, the poll showed that only a small minority of those supporting candidates who are not named Donald J. Trump indicated that they have “definitely decided” on which contender they will support. While this could further harm DeSantis’ campaign, if he plays his cards right, it could also benefit his chances of challenging the former president. The governor will need to work even harder to reassure Republican voters that he is the right man to take on President Joe Biden in the general election.

It will be a hard road for DeSantis, given that half of the respondents believe Trump has the best shot at defeating Biden in 2024. However, 16 percent believe the same about DeSantis. It is also worth noting, though, that only 59 percent of the governor’s own supporters actually believe that he has the best chance of winning the White House in the general election, which could suggest a lack of strong conviction among members of his base.  

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The results of this poll, as well as others, are a serious warning sign for DeSantis’ campaign. While it does not necessarily signal the demise of his candidacy, it does indicate he has significant ground to cover. His team seems to be aware of this fact and is pushing hard in Iowa, New Hampshire, and other key primary states to ensure the governor makes a decent showing as Team Trump attempts to secure their own victory. 

Filed Under: <![CDATA[2024 Election]]>, <![CDATA[24DeSantis]]>, <![CDATA[24trump]]>, <![CDATA[new hampshire]]>, News, Red State

Republicans Just Got Blasted in a New Hampshire Special Election Because Zero Lessons Have Been Learned

September 20, 2023 by Bonchie Leave a Comment

Following the embarrassment that was the 2022 election, in which Republicans managed to severely underperform despite having all the fundamentals in their favor, I asked one simple question: Are you tired of losing yet? 

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Ironically, some accused me of being too conservative when I predicted the GOP only getting to 235 seats in the House. Now, the Republican Party might end up with a majority far less than that. The Senate is pretty much a wasteland as well, with Mehmet Oz, despite a strong push down the stretch, not being able to overcome his unfavorables in Pennsylvania. Don Bolduc got trounced in New Hampshire, Georgia is headed to a runoff, and Masters is an underdog as counting continues in Arizona.

Far from the optimism of suggesting that 54 senate seats were on the table, my “low” prediction of winning 51 seats would actually be a minor miracle for Republicans now. I whiffed, not because I was too conservative, but because I was too bullish. That’s an outcome that seemed improbable just a day ago.

What happened on Tuesday can’t be left to lie. There has to be a reckoning, and it’s going to be uncomfortable and challenge some deeply-held priors. Republicans can’t keep running the same play over and over, hoping that the next time things will be different. No one should escape accountability.

And you know what? For a brief moment, it did feel like Republicans were tired of losing. As Christmas approached that year, people started talking about turning the page and doing things differently. There were suggestions of new leadership in the House and Senate along with a serious presidential primary in which the eventual candidate would be made to actually earn their position through rigorous debate.

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Unfortunately, that lasted about as long as winter weather in Miami. By the beginning of the year, everything had snapped back into place. Mitch McConnell became the Senate Minority Leader again, Ronna McDaniel won re-election at the RNC again, and Donald Trump was the presumptive nominee again. Quite literally nothing had changed. Perhaps worse, there didn’t even seem to be a conversation about making changes. 

Given that, it should come as no surprise that the same warning signs we saw leading up to the 2022 election are flashing red again. On Tuesday evening, Republicans got absolutely blasted in a New Hampshire special election. 

BREAKING: Democrat Hal Rafter just won his special election for the New Hampshire House in a landslide

Trump won this district in 2016 and 2020 and tonight a democrat wins it by 12 points

— Reda (@RedaMor_) September 20, 2023

The GOP challenger was James Guzofski, a local pastor who once proclaimed from the pulpit that the prophets told him Trump won the 2020 election. He lost by 12 points in a district that current Republican Gov. Chris Sununu won by 22 points. In other words, this wasn’t some long-shot blue district. This was a district the GOP was supposed to easily compete in, if not be favored to win outright. 

Is all this starting to feel familiar yet? Remember in 2022 when Republicans kept losing special election after special election but then yet another poll would come out showing the GOP doing well in the general and all was right with the world again? It seems like most are content to get right back on that ride. You can give my seat away, though. 

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From where I’m sitting, zero lessons have been learned. We are walking right back into the same buzzsaw that saw us lose one of the most favorable Senate maps in modern history in 2022, and we are doing so by chasing the very same delusions.

How many times have you seen a Republican in the last month swoon over a positive survey from Emerson? Newsflash: Emerson was way off in 2022, especially at the state level. Or what about the Harvard-Harris poll showing Republicans dominating in 2024? Another newsflash: Harvard-Harris way overestimated GOP support in 2022. How are our memories this short? 

I may not be that smart, but I’m capable of learning from past mistakes, and I’m not going to blow smoke up anyone’s backside and suggest this special election result doesn’t matter. Clearly, given what happened in 2022 with special elections, it matters, and if something doesn’t change quickly among the Republican electorate, 2024 is going to be another swift kick in the teeth. 

Filed Under: <![CDATA[2024Elections]]>, <![CDATA[new hampshire]]>, <![CDATA[Republican]]>, <![CDATA[special election]]>, News, Red State

Another One Bites the Dust: New Hampshire Slaps Down Latest Attempt to Keep Trump off the Ballot

September 14, 2023 by Jeff Charles Leave a Comment

Democrats’ effort to rig the outcome of the upcoming 2024 presidential election isn’t going so well. The anti-Trump faction has been trying desperately to ensure that former President Donald Trump does not set foot in the White House as president again. Their plan? Using Section 3 of the 14th Amendment to keep his name off the ballots in as many states as they can.

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Unfortunately for the left, New Hampshire just became the latest state to reject an effort to disqualify the Orange Man What Is Bad™ from appearing on the ballot.

The top election official in New Hampshire says he won’t invoke the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution in order to block former President Donald Trump from the ballot in the state that holds the first primary in the Republican nominating calendar.

New Hampshire Secretary of State Dave Scanlan on Wednesday also announced that the filing period for the 2024 presidential primary will start on Oct. 11 — meaning it’s nearly all but certain the date of the contest will lead to a collision with the Democratic National Committee (DNC).

At the news conference at the state house in Concord, called in part to address legal efforts by some Republicans in New Hampshire to prevent the former president from getting his name on the 2024 ballot, Scanlan said that as long as Trump “submits his declaration of candidacy and signs it under the penalties of perjury, pays the $1,000 filing fee, his name will appear on the presidential primary ballot.”

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For those unfamiliar, the provision in the 14th Amendment that Democrats and anti-Trump Republicans are trying to employ against Trump mandates that people who are involved in rebellions against the United States are prohibited from holding office. It was originally used against Confederate officials after the conclusion of the Civil War. These people allege that since Trump supposedly inspired the riot at the U.S. Capitol building on Jan. 6, 2021, he is disqualified under this provision.

Republican attorney Bryant “Corky” Messner had been considering filing a lawsuit as others did in Colorado and Florida if the former president sought to put his name on the ballot. He questioned whether Trump was still eligible due to the 14th Amendment.

John Anthony Castro, a Texas-based lawyer, actually filed a lawsuit in New Hampshire with the same objective in mind.

Earlier this month, a federal judge in Florida dismissed a similar lawsuit, noting that the plaintiff “lacked standing” to file it in the first place. This was the first of what will likely be many failed efforts to block Trump from appearing on the ballot.

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It appears that so far, none of the secretaries of state are buying what the anti-Trumpers are selling. From the moment that Democrats first floated the idea of keeping the former president from running for office again, it was clear that it was a blatantly political move. It has nothing to do with rebellions, insurrections, or even preserving the Constitution. The bottom line is that Democrats are simply looking to prevent the return of their biggest boogeyman by any means necessary. Unfortunately for them, it doesn’t seem to be working.

Filed Under: <![CDATA[14th Amendment]]>, <![CDATA[24trump]]>, <![CDATA[Donald Trump]]>, <![CDATA[new hampshire]]>, News, Red State

Massachusetts judge: Second Amendment rights cross state lines

August 23, 2023 by Cam Edwards Leave a Comment

As FPC Action Foundation’s Cody J. Wisniewski said on Bearing Arms’ Cam & Co yesterday, since the Bruen decision was handed down by the Supreme Court last year we’re starting to see lower courts around the country start to take the Second Amendment a little more seriously. While we’ve still seen some egregiously awful misreadings of Bruen over the past twelve months, we’ve also seen some major successes, including one case out of Massachusetts that addresses the fact that in many states, your right to keep and bear arms stops at the state line.

As The Reload’s Jake Fogelman reports, a Massachusetts judge recently concluded that the state’s prohibition on non-residents bearing arms for self-defense without first obtaining a temporary license to carry is a violation of their Second Amendment rights; a stunning development in a state where lawmakers are currently trying to obliterate the 2A rights of gun owners inside the borders as well.

“An individual only loses a constitutional right if he commits an offense or is or has been engaged in certain behavior that is covered by 18 USC section 922,” Judge Coffey wrote on August 3rd in Commonwealth of Massachusetts v. Dean F. Donnell. “He doesn’t lose that right simply by traveling into an adjoining state whose statute mandates that residents of that state obtain a license prior to exercising their constitutional right. To hold otherwise would inexplicably treat Second Amendment rights differently than other individually held rights. Therefore, the Court finds that GL. 269, sec. (10a) is unconstitutional as applied to this particularly situated defendant and allows the motion to dismiss on that ground.”

The ruling could have significant implications for determining the scope of the right to carry a firearm in public. It is one of the first legal decisions to address gun-carry rights across state lines since the Supreme Court recognized a general public carry right in New York State Rifle and Pistol Association v. Bruen last June. It could fuel gun-rights advocates’ push for the right to travel in all 50 states with firearms in public, also known as “national reciprocity.”

The defendant in the case, Dean Donnell, is a legal resident of New Hampshire. New Hampshire is a permitless gun carry state, meaning anyone 18 years of age or older who can legally possess a firearm may carry it in public openly or concealed. It also issues carry permits to residents for reciprocity purposes. However, Massachusetts does not honor New Hampshire permits.

Judge Coffey’s order does not specify whether or not Donnell had a valid New Hampshire permit, only that he “was in compliance with his home states laws on the possession of the firearm” when Massachusetts charged him. The law under which he was charged, GL. 269, sec. (10a), creates a mandatory minimum sentence of 18 months in prison for anyone convicted of possessing a firearm in public without a license.

Judge Coffey wrote that Donnell’s conduct was “clearly covered by the Second Amendment.” Therefore, under the standard of review set in Bruen, he said the Government of Massachusetts needed to show a historical tradition “relating to disparate treatment of nonresidents” to uphold the law.

The state couldn’t do that. Instead, attorneys argued that previous decisions had upheld the state’s authority to require a permit to carry, and that the non-resident permit process complied with the Bruen decision. Coffey disagreed, pointing out that the resident and non-resident permits are substantively different from each other.

As stated above, prior to the Bruen decision, Massachusetts treated the carrying of a firearm as a privilege,” he wrote. “While it allowed nonresidents to apply to obtain a license for that privilege, nonresidents were not treated the same as residents. Residents of Massachusetts obtaining a license were granted the license for five years. A temporary non resident license was only valid for one year.”

As a result, Coffey held that the state failed to meet its burden in proving that Donnell’s conduct was not constitutionally protected and warranted a felony charge.

“This Court can think of no other constitutional right which a person loses simply by traveling beyond his home state’s border into another state continuing to exercise that right and instantaneously becomes a felon subject to mandatory minimum sentence of incarceration,” Coffey added.

Coffey’s decision isn’t an immediate game-changer for anyone other than Dean Donnell, but it’s very good news for gun owners across the country and a sign that the courts are going to have to take this issue seriously. Why should I be able to exercise my right to bear arms in my home state of Virginia but lose that right when I cross the Potomac into Maryland? Why should anyone visiting places like California or New York be deprived of their Second Amendment rights when they cross the state line? Or maybe a better question to ask is why authorities in these states think they can get away with violating the constitutional rights of non-residents?

For far too long the answer has been “because they haveLawful Citizens Imprisonment Act gotten away with it”, but that looks to be changing. Coffey’s decision may not have set a state-or-nationwide precedent, but it opens the door for more challenges to Massachusetts’ unconstitutional deprivation of the right to keep and bear arms for visitors to the state, as well as giving anti-gun lawmakers something else to wrestle with as they try to revive their “” for another go-round this fall.

Filed Under: <![CDATA[Concealed Carry]]>, <![CDATA[Massachusetts]]>, <![CDATA[new hampshire]]>, <![CDATA[right to carry]]>, <![CDATA[Second Amendment]]>, <![CDATA[Video]]>, Bearing Arms, News

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Fox News Picks Univision Host to Push Amnesty in GOP Debate

September 27, 2023 | Neil Munro | Leave a Comment

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Trump in Michigan: ‘Only Time Biden Has Gotten His Hands Dirty Is When He’s Taking Cash from Foreign Countries’

September 27, 2023 | John Binder | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Hannah Bleau | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Alex Nitzberg | Leave a Comment

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Former President Trump Rallies in Detroit, Rails Against Automakers, Democrats, and Biden

September 27, 2023 | Susie Moore | Leave a Comment

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Senate Passes ‘SHORTS’ Resolution; John Fetterman Must Wear Pants

September 27, 2023 | Joel B. Pollak | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Frances Martel | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Jordan Dixon-Hamilton | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Paul Bois | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | John Binder | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Carlos Garcia | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | John Binder | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Jerry Wilson | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Pam Key | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Pam Key | Leave a Comment

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September 27, 2023 | Duke | Leave a Comment

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