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Red wave incoming? GOP slated for 'very good' election outcome as crime vastly outweighs abortion for voters

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The abortion hangover in a post-Roe v. Wade world is over.

According to CNN polling guru Harry Enten, all signs are suggesting that Republicans will have a “very good night” on Election Day next month.

What are the details?

Focusing on the issues of crime and abortion, Enten explained on “New Day” this week that voter interest in abortion spiked in May when it became clear that the Supreme Court would overturn Roe. Conversely, interest in crime sank.

But that trend has completely reversed itself just weeks before voters cast their ballots in the 2022 midterm elections.

“Around the time that Roe v. Wade was overturned in June, crime was just at 30% of all the searches between crime and abortion; abortion was at 70%. In May, again, abortion higher than crime. In July, it was basically tied, abortion slightly higher than crime. But look now in September: crime 71% to just 29% for abortion,” Enten explained.

“That is basically back to the pre-Roe v. Wade overturning sort of baseline where we were back in April, where crime was making up 74% of the searches versus abortion at just 26%,” he noted.


This is important because polls, like the new Monmouth University poll, show that crime is the second-most important issue to voters behind inflation.

And who do voters trust on the issue of crime? Republicans — overwhelmingly.

“Crime is basically the economy for Republicans,” Enten said. “Democrats do not want to be in this ballpark. They want to talking about abortion, which is the main focus of most of their ads. So, the more voters care about crime, the worse it is for Democrats.”

What will happen in November?

A recent Gallup poll that showed voters trust Republicans over Democrats to handle their most important issue by an 11-point margin. That difference, Enten said, is huge — and often precedes a red wave.

“Obviously, we’re not sure what’s going to happen this year, but in all other years or anywhere close to this [margin] — 46 Republican House seats won, 247, 230, 242 — and, of course, you just need 218 for a majority,” Enten explained of previous elections.

“So, if this election looks anything like this and voters react in the way that they normally do, then Republicans are going to have a very good night come election night,” he said.

Right on cue, NBC News reported Thursday that crime is making a difference in tight Senate races where Republicans stand to benefit.

New poll reveals shocking party realignment among 'conservative Latino' voters — and it only took one decade

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The 2020 presidential election was the first widespread evidence that Hispanic voters were abandoning the Democratic Party in droves.

But a new poll shows just how significant the shift in voting preference has become for many Hispanic Americans.

What do the data show?

The latest NBC News/Telemundo poll revealed that “conservative Latino” voters have transformed from Democratic voters to members of the Republican Party’s core supporters in just one decade.

In 2012, 49% of self-described “conservative Latinos” said they preferred that Democrats control Congress versus 40% who said they preferred Republicans. That means, 10 years ago, Democrats held a 9-point advantage.

Now, 73% of “conservative Latinos” say they prefer that Republicans control Congress versus just 17% who said they favor Democrats.

That means, in the span of one decade, the political preferences of “conservative Latino” voters have swung a whopping 65 points, an otherwise unheard of transformation in voter preference. Over the same time, “liberal Latino” voters have become more liberal, while moderate Latino voters have become more moderate.


What is driving the change?

Setting aside the fact that Republicans are clearly enjoying more support from Hispanic voters than ever, the poll’s results appear to confirm a phenomenon happening more broadly: Americans are becoming entrenched in their political ideology.

Republicans, then, are becoming more conservative, Democrats are becoming more liberal, and true moderates are resisting the ideological pull from either party.

Meanwhile, the poll found that Hispanic voters overall still prefer Democrats to Republicans, 54% to 33%. But that 21-point margin is much smaller than in years past.

“While Latinos continue to lean toward the Democratic Party and prefer Democratic control of Congress, Republicans have a higher share of the vote than we’ve measured previously,” pollster Aileen Cardona-Arroyo told NBC News. “Being down by 20 points is a lot better [for Republicans] than being down by 40 points.”

Only a slight majority of overall Hispanic voters approve President Joe Biden, the poll found. A majority, however, disapprove of his job handling immigration and border security, the economy, and the cost of living.

So why are Hispanic voters leaving the Democratic party? One Texas-based woman recently told journalist Jose Diaz-Balart that she became a Republican because the Democratic Party is becoming overly progressive.

“We’re for God, country, family, and hard work,” the woman said.


Anything else?

Not only are Hispanic voters increasingly leaving the Democratic Party, but black voters are also supporting Republicans in greater numbers than ever before.

If the Democratic Party continues hemorrhaging voters, it will be difficult to retain control of either the House or Senate. If that happens, Biden will be stalled for the second half of his presidency.

'It's not what you read. It's what is being omitted': Steve Crowder EXPOSES Dem's hemorrhaging black vote

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CNN finally acknowledged the declining number of black voters supporting Democrats. However, according to Steven Crowder, CNN and other news outlets neglected to tell their viewers how the downward trend in black voters has been apparent since 2008.

“It’s not what you read. It’s what is being omitted,” Crowder explained. Although CNN reported on the drop, its report only went back to 2018. Crowder’s data shows Democrats have been hemorrhaging black voters. Watch the video for the breakdown.

Later in Tuesday’s episode of “Louder with Crowder,” the guys covered the latest controversy surrounding artist Kanye West and conservative commentator Candace Owens for wearing “White Lives Matter” t-shirts to a fashion show. Many on the left viewed the political fashion statement as “dangerous,” but Crowder questioned what exactly is dangerous about two black people expressing respect for white people. Video below.




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